What's In Store for the 2016 Housing Market?

While the constant headlines of home foreclosure numbers are now a distant memory, the housing market has still not quite returned to its pre-recession strength. New home starts spent this past spring idling in hope that millennials would soon dive full force into home ownership. But a lot of the millennials opted to continue renting and pay down some debt. The federal government enacted numerous rules and laws aimed at protecting home buyers from predatory lending. And mortgage rates remained at historic lows. One positive that has come from the housing market collapse is that more home buyers are aware of the importance of title insurance. This came from the large number of bank-owned (REO) properties that had to be reabsorbed into the market before any substantive market growth could begin. But, what do industry analysts anticipate for 2016?

Many consumers remain pessimistic

Trulia commissioned Harris Poll to survey Americans about their view of the current and future housing market. Business Insider reported the results. Their research found that 80 percent of people in the important millennial demographic hope to someday own their own home. They found that 75 percent of people in all age brackets still hold onto the American dream of home ownership. About 22 percent of respondents believe it will be more difficult to obtain a home loan in 2016 than it was in the preceding years, due primarily to rising interest rates. Thirty-one percent of those millennials say they do plan to purchase a home by 2018. Their job status and how much money they have saved for a down payment will determine whether they pursue that goal in 2016 or later.

Fannie Mae and FHA try to make obtaining a loan easier

In addition to more buyers understanding the importance of title insurance, home buyers are more cautious about getting a home loan. In an effort to draw some of the qualified buyers who are still sitting on the sidelines into the market, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) lowered premiums on mortgage insurance below the traditional 0.85 percent to 1.35 percent. That is enough to save home buyers about $900 each year on their mortgage insurance. Additionally, Fannie Mae is also trying to make the path to home ownership smoother for buyers. Buyers qualified in other ways can get a home with as little as 3 percent down.

Another effort to make buying easier is the HomeReady mortgage program. HomeReady takes into consideration the income of other people living in the home, without these people being listed as a borrower on the mortgage. This means if a person represents at least 30 percent of the household income, their earnings can count toward the loan qualification. This program can also be used to include persons not living under the roof, like the parents of millennials who are willing to help their children with some monetary assistance.

Boomerang buyers may be coming back into market

While the first-time buyers get the most attention, it is the boomerang buyers who are likely to determine the overall strength of the 2016 housing market. The Northwestern University Institute for Policy Research estimates that  approximately seven million people across the United States lost their home to foreclosure during the recession. While the lenders may be reluctant to lend money to anyone who has a foreclosure in their past, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says almost one million of those people who lost a home previously are looking to buy again. The housing market will never fully recover until this demographic is once again allowed to borrow money to get their American dream back.


It is important that all home buyers be more prudent with their purchase decision. This includes being sure they can comfortably afford their mortgage. They should also have a thorough home inspection, and purchase title insurance for their own protection, in addition to the title insurance that protects the lender.

Older Homes Have Hidden Value Along With Hidden Costs

 When the housing market is discussed in the news, the new home start numbers and building permit numbers are used to indicate the strength or weakness of the market. Fannie Mae predicts a strong housing market for 2016 and the increase in housing starts that many Realtors have been hoping for since the United States began pulling out of the Great Recession.

Title insurance for old and new homes

Many buyers don't understand the need for Title Insurance on new constructions. Even though they are the original owner of the home, they still need Title Insurance to protect against possible hidden problems with the land or existing liens. With older homes, the need for title insurance is more clear. These homes have had many owners and possibly fell into foreclosure at some time. But these older homes can be hidden gems that still have many benefits for buyers of every age group.

Quality construction of older homes

Someone is going to say it anytime a Realtor is showing an older home to potential buyers: "They don't build them like this anymore." It is true. Homes constructed 50 or more years ago were built with old growth trees. That wood is not in ample supply these days, and the vast majority of new homes have wood from hemlock fir hybrid trees. These trees are scientifically engineered to grow quickly. However, the wood lacks the character of the wood used in older homes and does not have the same durability. A lot of wood used in new homes is what's called "construction grade." It is designed to be covered by paint.
Construction has improved in many areas over the years. Builders began incorporating features like energy-efficient windows during the energy crisis of the 1970s. Modern windows save homeowners thousands of dollars each year in energy costs and are virtually maintenance free. These multi-pane windows are metal or vinyl clad, easy to keep clean, and easy to repair if broken.
It is possible to get the best of both worlds in an older home that has been upgraded. But, potential buyers should know that most tax credits that were available for making energy-efficient improvements to existing homes have expired.

Other difficulties with existing homes

Older homes have those tiny bathrooms and small kitchens. People like being comfortable in every room of their home these days. Even mobile homes and homes in the lower prices ranges have luxurious bathrooms and kitchens with islands, plenty of counter space and outlets for small appliances. Buyers need to consider possible structural limitations to remodeling older homes. And a complete upgrade of the electrical system is often necessary.

Some things that can't be changed

Many millennials prefer being located near the city and are willing to trade having a spacious yard for having the convenient location. The municipal parks are enough recreational space for them. For home buyers who have a large lot with existing shade trees as a top priority, older homes are probably their only option. Homes that are more than 40 years old have trees in the yard that are over 40 years old. These stately trees are a mixed blessing. They do provide a canopy of shade to keep the house cool and enhance the enjoyment of outdoor activities, but they produce a large quantity of gutter-clogging leaves and the large limbs can be a liability. Each year these old trees damage homes (and neighbor's homes) when they succumb to high winds or loose limbs due to disease. Like people, trees are more prone to disease as they get older.

Upfront savings can cost a lot over time

Many first-time buyers are anxious to get as much house as they can possibly afford. A new construction will cost about 15 percent to 30 percent more than an older home with comparable square footage. But, the new home comes with adequate insulation and a new, highly efficient HVAC system to save on monthly bills. It will have vinyl exterior that does not require painting and new appliances.
Novice buyers often take on more than they can handle when they buy an older home with the intention of doing much of the needed work themselves. According to the NAR report Real Estate in a Digital Age, 68 percent of first-time buyers are millennials and 32 percent of all home buyers are between the ages of 25 and 34. With the vast majority of first-time home buyers being young professionals with busy lives, older homes are typically the right choice for just a small percentage of buyers who understand the costs and responsibilities that come with them.